Local Market Analysis October 18, 2016

Market Update – Q3


Inventory levels providing more choices for buyers; is the market starting to stabilize?

As we head into the fall and winter months after an incredibly eventful spring and summer, available inventory levels are starting to ease. It is still a seller’s market (3 months of inventory or less) in most areas, but one that is providing buyers increased options. The increase in available inventory is due to pent-up seller demand starting to come to market. The return of strong equity levels have brought sellers to market that have been waiting to jump in for some time. Continued buyer demand due to our flourishing job market and historically low interest rates have steadily absorbed new inventory, but we are finally starting to see a trend toward some more balance. This is good news! Additionally, lending requirements remain stringent and down payments are bigger, unlike the dreaded bubble market we experienced in 2007/2008. Educated pricing and sound condition is what will drive a buyer’s interest in a home. As the market stabilizes, it will be important for consumers to partner with a broker who closely follows the market to help them make informed decisions and develop winning strategies.

Read below for market details from Snohomish County down through south King County.

 

Snohomish CountySno Co

This graph shows that we currently sit at 1.6 months of inventory based on pending sales, which is the highest level we have seen in all of 2016! It is still a seller’s market (3 months or less), but one that is providing buyers increased options.  The average cumulative days on market reached 28 days in September, which was up 8% over August. Median price peaked in August at $401,000 and settled at $397,000 in September after hovering between $380,000 and $400,000 since April. For the first time since February, the average list to sale price ratio was 99% after sitting at 100-101% over the last six months.

The return of strong equity levels have brought sellers to market that have been waiting to jump in for some time. In fact, average prices have grown just over 20% over the last two years, freeing up sellers to make the moves they have been waiting for. Continued buyer demand due to our flourishing job market and historically low interest rates have steadily absorbed new inventory, but we are finally starting to see a trend toward some more balance. This is good news! We are still seeing multiple offers and quick market times, but not quite the frenzy that we experienced earlier this year.

All of these factors indicate that we may finally be headed towards a more stabilized market with positive attributes for both buyers and sellers.

 

South Snohomish County South Sno

This graph shows that we currently sit at 1.4 months of inventory based on pending sales, which is the highest level we have seen in all of 2016! It is still a seller’s market (three months or less), but one that is providing buyers increased options.  The average cumulative days on market reached 24 days in September, which was up 14% over August. Median price peaked in August at $453,000 and settled at $440,000 in September after hovering between $440,000 and $450,000 since March. For the first time since February, the average list to sale price ratio was 99% after sitting at 100-101% over the last six months.

The return of strong equity levels have brought sellers to market that have been waiting to jump in for some time. In fact, average prices have grown just over 20% over the last two years, freeing up sellers to make the moves they have been waiting for. Continued buyer demand due to our flourishing job market and historically low interest rates have steadily absorbed new inventory, but we are finally starting to see a trend toward some more balance. This is good news! We are still seeing multiple offers and quick market times, but not quite the frenzy that we experienced earlier this year.

All of these factors indicate that we may finally be headed towards a more stabilized market with positive attributes for both buyers and sellers.

 

North King County North King

This graph shows that we currently sit at 1.1 months of inventory based on pending sales, which is the highest level we have seen since January! It is certainly still a seller’s market (3 months or less), but one that is starting to provide buyers increased options.  In fact, we saw a 13% jump in new listings month-over-month. The average cumulative days on market reached 20 days in September, which was up 18% over August. Median price peaked in June at $650,000 and settled at $600,000 in September after hovering between $605,000 and $650,000 since March. In June, there were 95% more home sales above $1M over September. For the first time since February, the average list to sale price ratio was 101% after sitting at 102-104% over the last seven months.

The return of strong equity levels have brought sellers to market that have been waiting to jump in for some time. In fact, average prices have grown 21% over the last two years, freeing up sellers to make the moves they have been waiting for. Continued buyer demand due to our flourishing job market and historically low interest rates have steadily absorbed new inventory, but we are finally starting to see a trend toward some more balance. This is good news! We are still seeing multiple offers and quick market times, but not quite the frenzy that we experienced earlier this year.

All of these factors indicate that we may finally be headed towards a more stabilized market with positive attributes for both buyers and sellers.

 

Eastside Eastside

This graph shows that we currently sit at 1.5 months of inventory based on pending sales, which is the highest level we have seen in all of 2016! It is still a seller’s market (3 months or less), but one that is starting to provide buyers increased options. The average cumulative days on market reached 31 days in September which was up 24% over August. Median price peaked in August at $770,000 and settled at $750,000 in September after hovering between $737,000 and $770,000 since March. In June, there were 18% more home sales above $1M over September. Over the last two months, the average list to sale price ratio was 99% after sitting at 101-102% over the five months prior.

The return of strong equity levels have brought sellers to market that have been waiting to jump in for some time. In fact, average prices have grown 25% over the last two years, freeing up sellers to make the moves they have been waiting for. Continued buyer demand due to our flourishing job market and historically low interest rates have steadily absorbed new inventory, but we are finally starting to see a trend toward some more balance. This is good news! We are still seeing multiple offers and quick market times, but not quite the frenzy that we experienced earlier this year.

All of these factors indicate that we may finally be headed towards a more stabilized market with positive attributes for both buyers and sellers.

 

Seattle Metro Metro

This graph shows that we currently sit at 1.1 months of inventory based on pending sales, which is the highest level we have seen since January! It is certainly still a seller’s market (3 months or less), but one that is starting to provide buyers increased options. In fact, we saw a 16% jump in new listings month-over-month. The average cumulative days on market reached 21 days in September, which was up 31% over August. Median price peaked in June at $650,000 and settled at $605,000 in September after hovering between $608,000 and $650,000 since March. In June, there were 23% more home sales above $1M over September. For the first time since February, the average list to sale price ratio was 101% after sitting at 102-104% over the last seven months.

The return of strong equity levels have brought sellers to market that have been waiting to jump in for some time. In fact, average prices have grown 22% over the last two years, freeing up sellers to make the moves they have been waiting for. Continued buyer demand due to our flourishing job market and historically low interest rates have steadily absorbed new inventory, but we are finally starting to see a trend toward some more balance. This is good news! We are still seeing multiple offers and quick market times, but not quite the frenzy that we experienced earlier this year.

All of these factors indicate that we may finally be headed towards a more stabilized market with positive attributes for both buyers and sellers.

 

South King County South King

This graph shows that we currently sit at 1.7 months of inventory based on pending sales, which is the highest level we have seen in all of 2016! It is still a seller’s market (3 months or less), but one that is providing buyers increased options. The average cumulative days on market reached 27 days in both August and September, which was up 23% over July. Median price peaked in June at $371,000 and settled at $360,000 in September after hovering between $350,000 and $371,000 since March. For the first time since March, the average list to sale price ratio was 99% in August and September after sitting at 100-101% the prior four months.

The return of strong equity levels have brought sellers to market that have been waiting to jump in for some time. In fact, average prices have grown 16% over the last two years, freeing up sellers to make the moves they have been waiting for. Continued buyer demand due to our flourishing job market and historically low interest rates have steadily absorbed new inventory, but we are finally starting to see a trend toward some more balance. This is good news! We are still seeing multiple offers and quick market times, but not quite the frenzy that we experienced earlier this year.

All of these factors indicate that we may finally be headed towards a more stabilized market with positive attributes for both buyers and sellers.

 

These are only snapshots of  the trends in our area; please contact one of our agents if you would like further explanation of how the latest trends relate to you.

 

Local Market Analysis November 17, 2015

How Much is Your Home Worth?

 

A Look at Local Home Value Growth Since 2012

Since 2012, home values have grown by around 10% each year, resulting in substantial return in pricing. Below are some examples of actual homes sold in 2012 and again in 2015 that were not remodeled or significantly improved in between sales. These examples show the return in home values that we have experienced since the economic downturn. We pulled these examples to show you actual pound-for-pound market data versus the statistical percentages often quoted in market updates. We think these examples are pretty telling and quite exciting!

As you can see in the current economic update from Matthew Gardner, inventory has been a challenge. Many folks have been waiting for their current home values to return in order to make big moves involving their retirement, upgrading homes, investing or even buying a second home. If you are one of those people, we hope these examples provide you insight on the increase in home values and how they might pertain to you. As we head into the New Year, if you'd like a Comparable Market Analysis (CMA) on your home so you have a better understanding of your home's value, any one of our agents would be happy to do that. This would be an important component in charting your 2016 financial goals, and what a great time of year to gather that information.

 

3 bedroom 3200 sq ft Edmonds home:

Sold in August 2012
$569,950

Sold in July 2015
$755,000

$185,050 INCREASE IN HOME VALUE: 32%!

 


4 bedroom 2100 sq ft Bothell home:

Sold in February 2012
$318,948

Sold in February 2015
$433,820

$114,872 INCREASE IN HOME VALUE: 36%!

 


3 bedroom 1400 sq ft Shoreline home:

Sold in June 2012
$313,000

Sold in March 2015
$415,250

$102,250 INCREASE IN HOME VALUE: 33%!

 


3 bedroom 1800 sq ft Lynnwood home:

Sold in December 2011
$220,000

Sold in May 2015
$315,000

$95,000 INCREASE IN HOME VALUE: 43%!

We are currently working on more examples in surrounding communities… check out our Price Appreciation Study for more. And contact any one of our agents for a Comparable Market Analysis on your home.